Table of Contents
Our methodology for identifying Bitcoin support and resistance levels is based on calculating percentage deviations from the previous closing price across multiple timeframes: monthly, weekly, daily, hourly, and 15-minute intervals. This analysis is based on historical Bitcoin closing-price data provided by Binance.
Statistical analysis shows that Bitcoin’s closing price moves beyond these levels only in a certain proportion of cases. While past market behavior does not guarantee that the same patterns will occur in the future, this approach provides a useful statistical basis for short-term Bitcoin price forecasting and risk management in cryptocurrency trading.
Current Bitcoin Support and Resistance Levels
The current Bitcoin support and resistance levels are calculated based on historical Binance data covering Bitcoin price movements over 438 weeks, from April 9, 2018, through August 30, 2026.
Major Bitcoin Support Levels Today
The major Bitcoin support levels today are located at 0.7%, 2.2%, and 4.3% below the previous weekly closing price:
- 0.7% — 59.82% probability.
- 2.2% — 69.86% probability.
- 4.3% — 79.68% probability.
These probability percentages indicate the historical probability that Bitcoin’s weekly closing price will be above the corresponding projected level. See Table 1 for all major Bitcoin support levels.
| Support Level, % | Probability, % |
|---|---|
| 0.7 | 59.82 |
| 2.2 | 69.86 |
| 4.3 | 79.68 |
| 9.2 | 89.95 |
| 12.5 | 94.98 |
| 21.9 | 99.09 |
| 33.3 | 100.00 |
Major Bitcoin Resistance Levels Today
The major Bitcoin resistance levels today are located at 2.0%, 4.0%, and 6.7% above the previous weekly closing price:
- 2.0% — 60.27% probability
- 4.0% — 70.09% probability
- 6.7% — 79.68% probability
These probability percentages indicate the historical probability that Bitcoin’s weekly closing price will be below the corresponding projected level. See Table 2 for all major Bitcoin resistance levels.
| Resistance Level, % | Probability, % |
|---|---|
| 2.0 | 60.27 |
| 4.0 | 70.09 |
| 6.7 | 79.68 |
| 11.3 | 89.95 |
| 15.5 | 94.75 |
| 23.6 | 99.09 |
| 27.2 | 100.00 |
Monthly Bitcoin Support and Resistance Levels
The monthly Bitcoin support and resistance levels are calculated based on historical Binance data covering Bitcoin price movements over 100 months, from May 1, 2018, through August 31, 2026.
Monthly Bitcoin Support Levels
The major monthly Bitcoin support levels are located at 3.7%, 7.0%, and 10.2% below the previous monthly closing price:
- 3.7% — 60% probability
- 7.0% — 70% probability
- 10.2% — 80% probability
These probability percentages indicate the historical probability that Bitcoin’s monthly closing price will be above the corresponding projected level. See Table 3 for all monthly Bitcoin support levels.
| Support Level, % | Probability, % |
|---|---|
| 3.7 | 60.00 |
| 7.0 | 70.00 |
| 10.2 | 80.00 |
| 17.4 | 90.00 |
| 19.1 | 95.00 |
| 36.6 | 99.00 |
| 37.3 | 100.00 |
Monthly Bitcoin Resistance Levels
The major monthly Bitcoin resistance levels are located at 7.3%, 11.1%, and 16.9% above the previous monthly closing price:
- 7.3% — 60% probability
- 11.1% — 70% probability
- 16.9% — 80% probability
These probability percentages indicate the historical probability that Bitcoin’s monthly closing price will be below the corresponding projected level. See Table 4 for all monthly Bitcoin resistance levels.
| Resistance Level, % | Probability, % |
|---|---|
| 7.3 | 60.00 |
| 11.1 | 70.00 |
| 16.9 | 80.00 |
| 30.0 | 90.00 |
| 39.8 | 95.00 |
| 46.9 | 99.00 |
| 61.0 | 100.00 |
Weekly Bitcoin Support and Resistance Levels
The weekly Bitcoin support and resistance levels are calculated based on historical Binance data covering Bitcoin price movements over 438 weeks, from April 9, 2018, through August 30, 2026.
Weekly Bitcoin Support Levels
The weekly Bitcoin support levels are located at 0.7%, 2.2%, 4.3%, 9.2%, 12.5%, 21.9%, and 33.3% below the previous weekly closing price.
See Table 5 for all weekly Bitcoin support levels. The probability percentages in the table indicate the historical probability that Bitcoin’s weekly closing price will be above the corresponding projected level.
| Support Level, % | Probability, % |
|---|---|
| 0.7 | 59.82 |
| 0.8 | 61.19 |
| 0.9 | 61.64 |
| 1 | 62.79 |
| 1.1 | 63.93 |
| 1.4 | 65.07 |
| 1.5 | 65.53 |
| 1.6 | 66.89 |
| 1.7 | 67.58 |
| 2 | 69.18 |
| 2.2 | 69.86 |
| 2.4 | 70.78 |
| 2.6 | 71.46 |
| 2.7 | 72.6 |
| 2.8 | 74.43 |
| 3 | 75.11 |
| 3.3 | 76.03 |
| 3.5 | 76.94 |
| 4 | 78.08 |
| 4.2 | 78.77 |
| 4.3 | 79.68 |
| 4.7 | 81.05 |
| 4.9 | 81.96 |
| 5.3 | 83.11 |
| 5.5 | 84.02 |
| 5.9 | 85.16 |
| 6.8 | 86.07 |
| 7.3 | 86.99 |
| 8.2 | 87.9 |
| 8.9 | 89.04 |
| 9.2 | 89.95 |
| 10 | 90.87 |
| 10.7 | 91.78 |
| 11.1 | 93.15 |
| 11.5 | 94.06 |
| 12.5 | 94.98 |
| 13.8 | 95.89 |
| 14.4 | 97.03 |
| 15.9 | 97.95 |
| 21.9 | 99.09 |
| 33.3 | 100 |
Weekly Bitcoin Resistance Levels
The Bitcoin weekly resistance levels are located at 2.0%, 4.0%, 6.7%, 11.3%, 15.5%, 23.6%, and 27.2% above the previous weekly closing price.
See Table 6 for all weekly Bitcoin resistance levels. The probability percentages in the table indicate the historical probability that Bitcoin’s weekly closing price will be below the corresponding projected level.
| Resistance Level, % | Probability, % |
|---|---|
| 2 | 60.27 |
| 2.1 | 60.96 |
| 2.4 | 62.1 |
| 2.6 | 63.24 |
| 2.7 | 64.16 |
| 2.9 | 65.3 |
| 3.1 | 66.21 |
| 3.2 | 67.58 |
| 3.3 | 67.81 |
| 3.6 | 68.95 |
| 4 | 70.09 |
| 4.1 | 71.23 |
| 4.4 | 72.15 |
| 4.6 | 73.06 |
| 4.9 | 73.97 |
| 5.2 | 75.11 |
| 5.5 | 76.03 |
| 5.7 | 77.17 |
| 6.1 | 78.08 |
| 6.5 | 79 |
| 6.7 | 79.68 |
| 7.1 | 81.05 |
| 7.4 | 81.96 |
| 8 | 83.11 |
| 8.4 | 84.02 |
| 8.8 | 85.16 |
| 9 | 86.07 |
| 9.3 | 87.21 |
| 10 | 88.13 |
| 10.4 | 88.81 |
| 11.3 | 89.95 |
| 11.7 | 90.87 |
| 12.5 | 92.01 |
| 13.3 | 92.92 |
| 14.6 | 93.84 |
| 15.5 | 94.75 |
| 15.9 | 95.89 |
| 17.4 | 97.03 |
| 21.8 | 97.95 |
| 23.6 | 99.09 |
| 27.2 | 100 |
Daily Bitcoin Support and Resistance Levels
The daily Bitcoin support and resistance levels are calculated based on historical Binance data covering Bitcoin price movements over 3,023 days, from April 24, 2018, through August 2, 2026.
Daily Bitcoin Support Levels
The major daily Bitcoin support levels are located at 0.4%, 1.0%, and 1.8% below the previous daily closing price.
See Table 7 for all daily Bitcoin support levels. The probability percentages in the table indicate the historical probability that Bitcoin’s daily closing price will be above the corresponding projected level. The prices of the daily support levels are calculated using the same methodology as the weekly and monthly levels.
| Support Level, % | Probability, % |
|---|---|
| 0.4 | 59.78 |
| 1.0 | 70.69 |
| 1.8 | 80.32 |
| 3.2 | 89.81 |
| 4.9 | 95.04 |
| 8.9 | 99.01 |
| 39.6 | 100.00 |
Daily Bitcoin Resistance Levels
The major daily Bitcoin resistance levels are located at 0.5%, 1.1%, and 2.0% above the previous daily closing price.
See Table 8 for all daily Bitcoin resistance levels. The probability percentages in the table indicate the historical probability that Bitcoin’s daily closing price will be below the corresponding projected level. The prices of the daily resistance levels are calculated using the same methodology as the weekly and monthly levels.
| Resistance Level, % | Probability, % |
|---|---|
| 0.5 | 59.74 |
| 1.1 | 69.34 |
| 2.0 | 80.15 |
| 3.6 | 89.81 |
| 5.1 | 94.91 |
| 9.9 | 99.04 |
| 19.6 | 100.00 |
Hourly Bitcoin Support and Resistance Levels
The hourly Bitcoin support and resistance levels are calculated based on historical Binance data covering Bitcoin price movements over 72,528 hours, from April 23, 2018, through July 31, 2026.
Hourly Bitcoin Support Levels
The major hourly Bitcoin support levels are located at 0.08%, 0.2%, and 0.3% below the previous hourly closing price.
See Table 9 for all hourly Bitcoin support levels. The probability percentages in the table indicate the historical probability that Bitcoin’s hourly closing price will be above the corresponding projected level. The prices of the hourly support levels are calculated using the same methodology as the weekly and monthly levels.
| Support Level, % | Probability, % |
|---|---|
| 0.08 | 60.28 |
| 0.2 | 72.56 |
| 0.3 | 79.62 |
| 0.6 | 90.65 |
| 0.9 | 95.08 |
| 2.0 | 99.04 |
| 9.1 | 100.00 |
Hourly Bitcoin Resistance Levels
The major hourly Bitcoin resistance levels are located at 0.09%, 0.2%, and 0.3 above the previous hourly closing price.
See Table 10 for all hourly Bitcoin resistance levels. The probability percentages in the table indicate the historical probability that Bitcoin’s hourly closing price will be below the corresponding projected level. The prices of the hourly resistance levels are calculated using the same methodology as the weekly and monthly levels.
| Resistance Level, % | Probability, % |
|---|---|
| 0.09 | 60.05 |
| 0.2 | 71.36 |
| 0.3 | 78.72 |
| 0.6 | 90.30 |
| 0.9 | 94.96 |
| 1.9 | 98.99 |
| 10.6 | 100.00 |
15-Minute Bitcoin Support and Resistance Levels
The 15-minute Bitcoin support and resistance levels are calculated based on historical Binance data covering Bitcoin price movements over 290,016 15-minute intervals, from April 23, 2018, through July 31, 2026.
15-Minute Bitcoin Support Levels
The major 15-minute Bitcoin support levels are located at 0.04%, 0.09%, and 0.2% below the previous closing price of each 15-minute interval.
See Table 11 for all 15-minute Bitcoin support levels. The probability percentages in the table indicate the historical probability that Bitcoin’s 15-minute closing price will be above the corresponding projected level. The prices of the support levels for these intervals are calculated using the same methodology as the weekly and monthly levels.
| Support Level, % | Probability, % |
|---|---|
| 0.04 | 59.41 |
| 0.09 | 69.45 |
| 0.2 | 83.90 |
| 0.3 | 90.51 |
| 0.4 | 93.99 |
| 1.0 | 99.10 |
| 6.6 | 100.00 |
15-Minute Bitcoin Resistance Levels
The major 15-minute Bitcoin resistance levels are located at 0.05%, 0.1%, and 0.2% above the previous closing price of each 15-minute interval.
See Table 12 for all 15-minute Bitcoin resistance levels. The probability percentages in the table indicate the historical probability that Bitcoin’s 15-minute closing price will be below the corresponding projected level. The prices of the resistance levels for these intervals are calculated using the same methodology as the weekly and monthly levels.
| Resistance Level, % | Probability, % |
|---|---|
| 0.05 | 60.83 |
| 0.1 | 70.59 |
| 0.2 | 83.56 |
| 0.3 | 90.32 |
| 0.5 | 96.00 |
| 1.0 | 99.13 |
| 5.9 | 100.00 |
A Statistical Approach to Bitcoin Support and Resistance
Our Bitcoin forecasting model is used to forecast the weekly closing price of Bitcoin. However, support and resistance levels are determined using a separate statistical approach. We do not determine these levels by drawing subjective or manually identified lines on price charts. We also do not use traditional trading indicators such as MACD or RSI in this methodology.
Instead, the support and resistance levels are derived statistically from historical Bitcoin closing-price data and percentage deviations from the relevant previous closing prices across different timeframes. This research approach in the field of cryptocurrency is designed to provide objectively calculated statistical levels rather than levels based on visual chart patterns or discretionary technical analysis.
